Crystal Li

主任, Beijing, 中国

李女士是北京办事处的顾问。


生物

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观点

Navigating the Inevitable Reset

The hospitality industry, particularly in the United States, is at an inflection point. Economic indicators are flashing caution, sentiment is softening, and the easy growth of the past few years is giving way to a more sobering reality. At Horwath HTL, we believe this environment is not one to fear – but one to understand and strategically engage with. While many in the market are debating the signs, the implications are increasingly clear. Even Goldman Sachs – the standard-bearer for Wall Street foresight – has wavered in its outlook, raising the probability of a U.S. recession to 35% in late March. Their rationale? Slowing growth, weakening household and business confidence, and a policy climate more tolerant of economic discomfort.

Bryan Younge
Bryan Younge
管理合伙人, USA
观点

Feasibility meets strategy: market-driven hotel development

Hotel development continues to gain momentum. Brands are growing, developers are active, and capital is cautiously finding its way back into the market. But in today’s environment, simple feasibility isn’t enough. Stakeholders need to understand not just whether a project is viable – they need to know how it will affect the competitive landscape, the community, and long-term asset performance. That’s why true feasibility requires an integrated approach – one that combines market impact insight with disciplined valuation and investment foresight.

William Kottenstette
William Kottenstette
常务董事, USA
文章

Loyalty as a Value Multiplier in Hospitality

Currently, over half of hotel stays result from loyal customers, contributing significantly to occupancy, profitability, and income stability (Source: Marriott, Hilton, Hyatt, Wyndham and Choice public filing). Strengthening loyalty programs is a strategic priority in Europe; in Spain, some chains boast over 15 million registered users, generating more than 50% of direct channel sales. (Source: Hosteltur)

Philip Bacon
Philip Bacon
高级总监, Spain
观点

Hotel asset values and strategic positioning in a policy-driven climate

Recent federal policy activity in the United States is reshaping the operating environment for hotels and travel-aligned businesses. The implications of new regulatory measures—ranging from tightened cross-border access to reductions in government expenditures and a reconfigured trade posture—are already filtering through to performance data and asset pricing in hospitality. At Horwath HTL, our focus is to help stakeholders interpret these signals through the lens of value: whether that’s the valuation of individual hotel assets, the enterprise value of lodging platforms, or the strategic advisability of hospitality investment. In today’s climate, our role centers on identifying how policy inputs are translating into financial outcomes for hotel owners, operators, and investors.

Bryan Younge
Bryan Younge
管理合伙人, USA
报告

Mexico Hotel Market 2024

In 2024, Mexico’s tourism sector continued its robust post-pandemic recovery, contributing 8.6% to the national GDP and employing over 4.9 million people. Tourist arrivals reached 27 million, with 22.3 million entering by air – 63% from the U.S. – underscoring Mexico’s continued appeal to international travelers. This comprehensive market study outlines the main trends, growth segments, and challenges for Mexico’s hospitality sector as of 2024 and forecasts into 2025–2028.

Fabián Sánchez
Fabián Sánchez
常务董事, Mexico
报告

Indonesia: The impact of government austerity measures

The Indonesian hospitality industry is grappling with the effects of the government’s budget austerity policy, introduced in November 2024, according to a recent survey conducted by the Indonesian Hotel and Restaurant Association (PHRI) and Horwath HTL. The survey, which gathered responses from 726 hoteliers across 30 provinces, highlights significant concerns regarding declining market performance, with 83% of respondents indicating an unfavourable start to 2025. Government-related demand, historically comprising 5-7% of hotel business, and MICE-related demand, making up 6-21%, have been drastically affected.

Matt Gebbie
Matt Gebbie
主任, Indonesia